In 2022, my country's new energy vehicle sales are expected to increase by 47 percent year-on-year
14 desanm, Chen Shihua, sekretè jeneral adjwen nan Asosyasyon manifaktirè otomobil peyi mwen an, te di nan Summit Previzyon Devlopman Mache Otomobil nan peyi mwen an 2022 ke li espere ke lavant nouvo otomobil nan peyi mwen an pral rive nan 27.5 milyon dola nan 2022, yon ane-sou-anne ogmantasyon de 5.4 pousan . Lavant nouvo machin enèji yo pral rive 5 milyon, yon ogmantasyon de 47 pousan ane-sou-ane. Pwoblèm ekipman pou chip la ap toujou egziste ane pwochèn. Pwovizyon pou Chip pral rive nan yon balans sere nan fen ane pwochèn.
Pwovizyon pou chip yo pral nan balans sere ane pwochèn
On the basis that the cumulative sales of new cars in my country's auto market in the first 11 months of this year have reached 23.489 million units, the China Automobile Association predicts that my country's total auto sales in 2021 will be 26.1 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.1 percent . Among them, the sales volume of passenger vehicles was 21.3 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5.6 percent ; the sales volume of commercial vehicles was 4.8 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4 percent ; the sales volume of new energy vehicles was 3.4 million units, a year-on-year increase of 1.5 times.
Chen Shihua analyzed that in 2021, due to the increasing shortage of automotive chips in the third quarter, the monthly trend of my country's auto market will be characterized by highs and lows. From January to October 2021, there will be a gap of about 750,000 vehicles in my country's auto market due to chip supply issues. Considering the next two months, the shortage of chip supply will lead to a reduction of 1.3 million to 1.4 million vehicles in my country's auto market this year.
Asosyasyon oto Lachin nan predi ke tandans nan mache oto ane pwochèn yo pral opoze a, ki montre karakteristik sa yo nan ba anvan ak segondè. Chen Shihua kwè ke ouvèti olenpik ivè yo nan premye mwatye ane pwochèn pral gen yon enpak sèten sou pwodiksyon konpayi ki gen rapò ak otomobil - nan North Lachin, ak pwoblèm ekipman pou chip la ap kontinye jiska ane pwochèn. Pwovizyon pou Chip pral rive nan yon balans sere nan fen ane pwochèn.
Regarding the trend of my country's auto market in 2022, the my country Association of Automobile Manufacturers estimates that my country's total auto sales in 2022 will be 27.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5.4 percent . Among them, the sales of passenger vehicles were 23 million units, an increase of 8 percent year-on-year; the sales of commercial vehicles were 4.5 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 6 percent ; the sales of new energy vehicles were 5 million units, a year-on-year increase of 47 percent .
Chen Shihua said that in addition to chips, there are multiple factors that are conducive to the development of the auto market next year. For example, in 2022, my country's macro economy will continue to recover steadily, macro policies will promote automobile consumption, epidemic prevention and control will continue to improve, overseas demand will be strong, chip supply will gradually recover, and new energy vehicle exports will continue to increase.
Chen Shihua believes that from the perspective of long-term development, my country's automobile market is still in the transition stage from the early stage of popularization to the later stage of popularization, and the sales of new cars are gradually shifting from the incremental market to the stock market. Although there were fluctuations in my country's automobile market in 2018, throughout history, the developed countries also experienced fluctuations of about 2-4 years in the popularization stage. Judging from this law, the production and sales of my country's automobile market is currently at the end of a short-term adjustment, and will maintain a moderate upward trend in the future.
Nouvo mache machin enèji a ka antre nan yon peryòd eksplozif
Fu Bingfeng, vis-prezidan egzekitif ak sekretè jeneral Asosyasyon Konpayi fabrikasyon otomobil peyi mwen an, te fè remake ke nan 2021, demann konsomatè mache a ap kontinye montre yon tandans amelyore kalite ak amelyore, ak pwodiksyon an jeneral otomobil ak lavant ap toujou kenbe yon. ogmantasyon fiks, e gen anpil tach klere. Pwodiksyon an kimilatif nan machin enèji nouvo nan premye 11 mwa yo depase 3 milyon dola, ak volim nan lavant te tou pre 3 milyon dola. Li espere ke volim lavant anyèl la rive nan 3.4 milyon dola, yon ane -sou-anne ogmantasyon de 1.6 fwa. Marketization nouvo enèji machin yo te antre nan yon nouvo etap nan kwasans eksplozif, ki te chanje soti nan politik-kondwi nan mache-kondwi nan tan lontan an.
In Fu Bingfeng's view, a new round of technological revolution is empowering the transformation of the automobile industry and accelerating the progress towards "electrification, networking, and intelligence". important strategic choices for development. The continuous improvement of people's living standards continues to drive the consumption upgrade of the automobile market, and the proportion of mid-to-high-end automobile sales has increased year by year, which has also brought new development opportunities for automobile companies. He also pointed out that external adverse effects such as anti-globalization, continued epidemics, and high raw material prices have also brought uncertainty to the development of the auto industry. my country's auto industry should be alert to the possible impact of changes in the external environment.
Wang Qing, direktè adjwen nan Market Ekonomik Rechèch Enstiti a nan Sant Rechèch Devlopman nan Konsèy Eta a, predi ke demann lan pou otomobil espere kontinye detant yon ti kras nan 2022. Volim nan lavant nan otomobil se apeprè 27 milyon inite, yon ogmantasyon. nan 3 pousan -5 pousan ane-sou ane, epi modèl ba anvan ak segondè pandan ane a ap rete .
Lin Huaibin, head of IHSMarkit's light vehicle sales forecast in my country, believes that the development of new energy vehicles in China has ushered in a turning point for fuel vehicles. Considering the comprehensive cost, the current electric vehicle has reached a level that is basically the same as that of the fuel vehicle, and the cost performance advantage of the electric vehicle has been very obvious. It should be seen that while the market penetration rate of new energy vehicles is rapidly increasing, the market penetration rate of autonomous driving is also rapidly increasing. If chips can be supplied stably, my country's new energy vehicle market share will account for 17 percent -18 percent in 2022.
Mei Songlin, vice president of strategic operations of WM Motor Group, believes that the current penetration rate of electric vehicles in the new energy vehicle market has increased significantly, and the electric vehicle market is close to an inflection point of 16 percent . After crossing this inflection point, my country's new energy vehicles will enter an outbreak period, and electric vehicles must attack the mid-end market of traditional fuel vehicles, that is, the A-class vehicle market.
Nan sans sa a, Bai Ling, yon ekspè rechèch endistri ki soti nan Depatman Planifikasyon Product nan Chongqing Changan, kwè tou ke nan 2022, mache a nouvo enèji machin pral piti piti transfòme soti nan yon altèr nan yon fòm file koton. Pwopòsyon an ap ogmante piti piti.
